Canada’s federal poll released this week shows the governing Liberals maintaining a nine‑point advantage over the opposition Conservatives as the summer draws to a close.
The survey records Liberal support at 43 percent, Conservative backing at 34 percent, and the New Democratic Party at 12 percent, reflecting only marginal shifts from the previous week.
Both parties have hovered near the 40 percent mark since late last year, with the Liberal Party achieving its strongest figures of the year while the Conservatives slipped to a one‑year low in early spring.
Liberal support fell to 40 percent in June, whereas Conservative figures have consistently ranged between 30 and 35 percent throughout the year, never breaking the mid‑thirties.
The share of undecided voters contracted to 11 percent, down from 14 percent a week earlier, indicating fewer voters remain outside the main contest.
Regionally, the Liberals lead in Ontario with 48 percent to the Conservatives’ 36 percent, and in Quebec with 44 percent against the Bloc Québécois’ 25 percent and the Conservatives’ 20 percent. In British Columbia, Liberals hold 43 percent to the Conservatives’ 31 percent, while the Conservatives dominate in Alberta at 51 percent to the Liberals’ 32 percent and in the Prairies at 45 percent to 32 percent.
Prime Minister Mark Carney’s approval rating rose by one point to 57 percent, while disapproval fell to 34 percent and 9 percent of respondents expressed uncertainty.
Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre’s favorable rating dropped two points to 34 percent, with an unfavorable rating of 52 percent; eight percent remain unsure and five percent are not familiar with him.
The poll was conducted between July 19 and August 1, weighted to the 2021 census, and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.
